October 8, 2019 Weekly Report

Abelian2

Highlight of the Week

Another Fed rate cut appears likely

  • 74.3% chance of another rate cut at the Fed’s October meeting (according to CME FedWatch tool)
  • Odds soared above 90% after low US manufacturing data, but tempered after unemployment showed lowest level in 50 years

Rate Curves

Screen Shot 2019 10 08 At 9.39.20 AM

Rapid Report:

Abelian Brand Mark

Hard and soft data provide contradicting economic signals for US economy

  • Hard data shows lowest unemployment in 50 years and retail sales growing at a greater-than-expected rate
  • Soft data shows struggling stocks and disappointing corporate and consumer sentiment surveys as US-China trade war lingers on
  • Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver remarks Tuesday at the National Association for Business Economics

Freddie Mac’s AI company headed to court

  • ZestFinance recently began testing its underwriting software for Freddie Mac – claiming to use artificial intelligence to spot trends that traditional lending models frequently miss
  • The Peter Thiel backed startup has had issues with a class action lawsuit involving dodging state-imposed limits on payday lending interest rates

Winner-take-all Wednesday night

Braves host Cardinals Wednesday at SunTrust Park to determine NLDS Champ

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