{"id":9759,"date":"2023-05-31T12:12:35","date_gmt":"2023-05-31T16:12:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/?p=9759"},"modified":"2023-05-31T12:12:35","modified_gmt":"2023-05-31T16:12:35","slug":"weekly-report-may-31-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/market-updates\/weekly-report-may-31-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Report &#8211; May 31, 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"l-section wpb_row height_medium\"><div class=\"l-section-h i-cf\"><div class=\"g-cols vc_row via_flex valign_top type_default stacking_default\"><div class=\"vc_col-sm-1 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-10 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><div class=\"wpb_text_column\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><h2>Highlight of the Week<\/h2>\n<\/div><\/div><div class=\"w-separator size_small with_line width_default thick_1 style_solid color_border align_center\"><div class=\"w-separator-h\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"g-cols wpb_row via_flex valign_top type_default stacking_default\"><div class=\"vc_col-sm-6 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><div class=\"wpb_text_column\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><h4>Debt Ceiling Hopes Lifted<\/h4>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-6 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><div class=\"wpb_text_column\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><ul>\n<li>10-year treasuries dropped 12 bps on Tuesday after news over an \u2018in-principle\u2019\u00a0agreement on the debt ceiling was reached.<\/li>\n<li>Market reactions remain mixed as the measure has not passed through Congress.\u00a0On Friday, Treasury secretary Janet Yellen reaffirmed the X-date would be June 5th with over $130 billion in scheduled payments being due on the first two\u00a0days of June.<\/li>\n<li>The consensus surrounding the legislation is that the spending cuts do not impose any sufficient restraints that would trigger a recession or change the current\u00a0macroeconomic outlook.<\/li>\n<li>Tech stocks and the NASDAQ composite have seen recent bumps as excitement around Artificial Intelligence has driven stocks higher amid the debt ceiling negotiations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-1 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"l-section wpb_row height_medium color_alternate\"><div class=\"l-section-h i-cf\"><div class=\"g-cols vc_row via_flex valign_top type_default stacking_default\"><div class=\"vc_col-sm-3 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-6 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><div class=\"wpb_text_column\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><h3>Rate Curves<\/h3>\n<\/div><\/div><div class=\"w-separator size_small with_line width_default thick_1 style_solid color_border align_center\"><div class=\"w-separator-h\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"w-image style_shadow-1 align_center\"><div class=\"w-image-h\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"984\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Graph_2023.05.31.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"Graph 2023.05.31\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Graph_2023.05.31.png 984w, https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Graph_2023.05.31-300x175.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-3 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"l-section wpb_row height_medium\"><div class=\"l-section-h i-cf\"><div class=\"g-cols vc_row via_flex valign_top type_default stacking_default\"><div class=\"vc_col-sm-1 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-10 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><div class=\"g-cols wpb_row via_flex valign_top type_default stacking_default\"><div class=\"vc_col-sm-9 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><div class=\"wpb_text_column\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><h2>Rapid Report:<\/h2>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-3 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><div class=\"w-image align_right\"><div class=\"w-image-h\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1722\" height=\"1119\" src=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/abelian-brand-mark.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"Abelian Brand Mark\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/abelian-brand-mark.png 1722w, https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/abelian-brand-mark-300x195.png 300w, https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/abelian-brand-mark-1024x665.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1722px) 100vw, 1722px\" \/><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"w-separator size_small with_line width_default thick_1 style_solid color_border align_center\"><div class=\"w-separator-h\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"w-image align_none\"><div class=\"w-image-h\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"984\" height=\"525\" src=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/boxplots_commercial_delinquencyrates_q1_2023.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"Boxplots Commercial Delinquencyrates Q1 2023\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/boxplots_commercial_delinquencyrates_q1_2023.png 984w, https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/boxplots_commercial_delinquencyrates_q1_2023-300x160.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/div><\/div><div class=\"w-image align_none\"><div class=\"w-image-h\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"984\" height=\"525\" src=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/commercial_delinquency_rates_1991.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"Commercial Delinquency Rates 1991\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/commercial_delinquency_rates_1991.png 984w, https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/commercial_delinquency_rates_1991-300x160.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 984px) 100vw, 984px\" \/><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wpb_text_column\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><ul>\n<li>Per our February 22nd <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/feed\/update\/urn:li:activity:7034276217683939329\">report<\/a>, we covered the rise in CRE delinquencies rates for Q4 \u201822. Figure 1 shows where the last 5 quarters of percent change fell in terms of their quarterly distributions.<\/li>\n<li>The CRE delinquency rate remains at historic lows and well below the average of 3.78%. However, continued interest rate hikes have created a challenging environment for commercial loans and could push delinquencies higher in the coming year(s).<\/li>\n<li>Figure 2 illustrates the volatility of Q-o-Q changes through 2006-2010 leading to delinquency rates peaking at 10% in Q1 of 2010. How fast the rates could reach these levels will depend on the current trend of double-digit Q-o-Q increases sustaining throughout the next year and the severity of the anticipated recession.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_col-sm-1 wpb_column vc_column_container\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Highlight of the Week Debt Ceiling Hopes Lifted 10-year treasuries dropped 12 bps on Tuesday after news over an \u2018in-principle\u2019\u00a0agreement on the debt ceiling was reached. Market reactions remain mixed as the measure has not passed through Congress.\u00a0On Friday, Treasury secretary Janet Yellen reaffirmed the X-date would be June 5th with over $130 billion in...","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":9760,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Report - May 31, 2023 - Abelian Partners<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/market-updates\/weekly-report-may-31-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weekly Report - May 31, 2023 - Abelian Partners\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/market-updates\/weekly-report-may-31-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Abelian Partners\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-05-31T16:12:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Graph_2023.05.31.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"984\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"575\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Abelian Partners\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AbelianPartners\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@AbelianPartners\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Abelian Partners\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/market-updates\/weekly-report-may-31-2023\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/market-updates\/weekly-report-may-31-2023\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Abelian Partners\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.abelianpartners.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cd5232dfcbde2c8b74bddcaa6eb02770\"},\"headline\":\"Weekly Report &#8211; 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